ETH Volatility Analysis for Durable Orders Ex Transportation, 26th June 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Census on 26 June 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation came in at 0.6% for May 2025, against 0.0% in April 2025. Durable goods orders excluding transportation are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Durable Goods Orders, Gross Domestic Product Report, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Ethereum's volatility ratio was 1.23x, against 1.34x for a typical Durable Orders Ex Transportation release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.43x, against a typical 1.57x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Ethereum moved

Ethereum was at $2,443.31 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.23% higher, and an hour later 0.14% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1% of its price, against 0.85% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Durable Orders Ex Transportation releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Ethereum more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.66x across 19, against 1.30x across 49. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 1.23x compares with 1.30x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

About Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation

The U.S. Census Bureau publishes the Durable Goods Orders report every month. Durable goods orders ex transportation reflect new orders placed with domestic manufacturers for delivery of long-lasting manufactured goods (durable goods) excluding transportation equipment in the near term or future. The change in the total value of new orders is measured and shared with the public in two releases per month: the advance report on durable goods and the manufacturers' shipments, inventories, and orders.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ETH-USDT

Ethereum

Open

2,420.83

Close

2,419.17

24h Change

-1.66 (-0.07%)

24h High

2,520.92

24h Low

2,394.32

24h Volume

461,714 ETH

US Durable Goods Orders Excluding Transportation

Bureau of Census

26th June, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before2442.912443.572442.902443.320.02%0.03%78 ETH
During2443.312443.782440.302440.30-0.12%0.14%182 ETH
 
5 Minutes
Before2433.892444.492433.892443.320.39%0.43%1,817 ETH
During2443.312449.272439.802447.390.17%0.39%2,079 ETH
 
10 Minutes
Before2443.302444.492433.882443.320.00%0.43%5,717 ETH
During2443.312449.282439.802447.750.18%0.39%3,304 ETH
 
15 Minutes
Before2445.012447.232433.882443.32-0.07%0.55%6,475 ETH
During2443.312452.152439.802449.030.23%0.50%4,988 ETH
 
30 Minutes
Before2450.352454.772433.882443.32-0.29%0.85%10,859 ETH
During2443.312452.152434.822440.02-0.13%0.71%8,016 ETH
 
1 Hour
Before2447.172454.772433.882443.32-0.16%0.85%17,083 ETH
During2443.312452.152427.772439.91-0.14%0.99%16,533 ETH
 
2 Hours
Before2459.802461.922433.882443.32-0.67%1.14%31,546 ETH
During2443.312452.152420.002435.73-0.31%1.31%51,240 ETH
 
4 Hours
Before2490.132494.672433.882443.32-1.92%2.44%67,620 ETH
During2443.312459.492409.512429.70-0.56%2.03%105,777 ETH
 
6 Hours
Before2479.862500.562433.882443.32-1.50%2.67%98,138 ETH
During2443.312459.492409.512425.79-0.72%2.03%127,839 ETH
 
8 Hours
Before2420.832520.922416.992490.132.78%4.12%191,675 ETH
During2490.132494.672409.512429.70-2.49%3.41%173,398 ETH
 
12 Hours
Before2420.832520.922416.992443.320.92%4.12%259,295 ETH
During2443.312459.492394.322419.17-1.00%2.65%202,419 ETH

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