Data Analysis
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 7.51x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 10.89x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $83,860.01 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 1.21% lower, and an hour later 1.43% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.87% of its price, against 0.65% in the hour before.
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 14 October 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.6% for September 2026, against 0.4% in August 2026. Consumer prices are rising faster than before.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
What made it matter
Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one came out 14 days before the Federal Reserve's 28 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 7.51x compares with 4.75x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.
What it means
Bitcoin showed a strong reaction to the September CPI release. Volatility reached 7.51 times normal levels in the quarter hour after the 8:30 AM print, well above the 4.28 times median recorded across CPI events since 2021. Volume expanded to 10.89 times ordinary amounts over the same window. The price fell 1.21 percent in the first fifteen minutes and 1.43 percent after one hour, while the hourly range widened to 1.87 percent from 0.65 percent before the release.
The move also surpassed the 4.75 times median volatility observed when CPI arrives within two weeks of a Federal Reserve decision. The index printed 0.6 percent month-over-month for September, compared with 0.4 percent in August, and landed fourteen days before the October 28 policy meeting. It arrived alongside the core CPI and core inflation readings, so the measured response reflects the combined release.
Across seventy CPI events since 2021 the median volatility ratio stands at 4.28 times, placing this outcome in the upper part of the distribution. Traders watching the next CPI may observe that releases clustered near policy meetings have tended to coincide with larger price ranges, although the magnitude still varies with the specific data surprise and market positioning at the time.
About Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
83,462.01Close
81,779.1024h Change
-1682.91 (-2.06%)24h High
84,146.7224h Low
81,444.4224h Volume
18,551 BTCUS Consumer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
14th October, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 83764.09 | 83910.01 | 83764.09 | 83860.01 | 0.11% | 0.17% | 33 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82730.88 | 82929.06 | -1.12% | 1.43% | 738 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 83661.72 | 83910.01 | 83654.00 | 83860.01 | 0.24% | 0.31% | 86 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82730.88 | 82871.11 | -1.19% | 1.43% | 1,172 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 83728.02 | 83910.01 | 83654.00 | 83860.01 | 0.16% | 0.31% | 143 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82730.88 | 82832.90 | -1.24% | 1.43% | 1,349 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 83828.57 | 83910.01 | 83654.00 | 83860.01 | 0.04% | 0.31% | 182 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82605.78 | 82846.69 | -1.22% | 1.58% | 1,512 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 83465.94 | 83910.01 | 83454.00 | 83860.01 | 0.47% | 0.54% | 357 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82605.78 | 82743.75 | -1.35% | 1.58% | 1,806 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 83372.01 | 83910.01 | 83365.26 | 83860.01 | 0.58% | 0.65% | 500 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 82364.49 | 82661.52 | -1.45% | 1.87% | 2,633 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 83356.01 | 83910.01 | 83338.00 | 83860.01 | 0.60% | 0.68% | 792 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 81893.74 | 82053.94 | -2.20% | 2.43% | 5,061 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 83839.67 | 83910.01 | 83028.70 | 83860.01 | 0.02% | 1.05% | 2,440 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 81588.88 | 81738.63 | -2.60% | 2.79% | 7,248 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 83494.01 | 84146.72 | 83028.70 | 83860.01 | 0.44% | 1.33% | 3,769 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 81514.28 | 81649.98 | -2.71% | 2.88% | 8,545 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 83462.01 | 84146.72 | 83172.00 | 83839.66 | 0.45% | 1.16% | 4,191 BTC |
| During | 83839.67 | 83933.00 | 81588.88 | 81738.63 | -2.57% | 2.79% | 9,688 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 83462.01 | 84146.72 | 83028.70 | 83860.01 | 0.47% | 1.33% | 6,631 BTC |
| During | 83860.01 | 83933.00 | 81444.42 | 81779.10 | -2.54% | 2.96% | 11,921 BTC |
