BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 10th June 2026

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 June 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.5% for May 2026, against 0.6% in April 2026. Consumer prices are still rising, but more slowly than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $61,168.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.85% higher, and an hour later 0.63% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.32% of its price, against 0.53% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 3.53x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 6.17x, against a typical 6.92x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one came out 7 days before the Federal Reserve's 17 June rate decision. Its own ratio of 3.53x compares with 4.75x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

What it means

Bitcoin posted a contained move after the May CPI release of 0.5 percent. The high-to-low range reached 1.32 percent in that hour compared with 0.53 percent beforehand, producing a volatility ratio of 3.53 times the day's typical quarter-hour level.

This reading arrived seven days before the June Federal Reserve decision, a period that has delivered a median volatility ratio of 4.75 times across prior CPI releases since 2021. The actual ratio fell short of that benchmark even though the print coincided with the core CPI and core inflation figures. Volume expanded 6.17 times against the usual 6.92 times multiplier for the event, confirming the overall response stayed within ordinary bounds for the data series.

The full record since 2021 shows a median volatility ratio of 4.28 times across seventy CPI releases. Releases clustered before policy meetings have tended to generate larger swings than those at other times, yet this instance demonstrated that proximity alone does not guarantee an outsized reaction when the figures align closely with recent trends.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

61,852.80

Close

61,884.00

24h Change

31.20 (0.05%)

24h High

62,857.99

24h Low

60,755.00

24h Volume

16,086 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

10th June, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before61124.0061175.6561122.9861167.990.07%0.09%9 BTC
During61168.0061678.0061141.1761521.900.58%0.87%329 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before61059.6661175.6561059.6661167.990.18%0.19%25 BTC
During61168.0061950.0061141.1761667.130.81%1.31%594 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before61084.0061175.6561047.0361167.990.14%0.21%76 BTC
During61168.0061950.0061141.1761706.000.87%1.31%739 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before61189.9961245.9961047.0361167.99-0.04%0.32%152 BTC
During61168.0061950.0061141.1761685.990.84%1.31%803 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before61034.0461245.9960960.0061167.990.22%0.47%317 BTC
During61168.0061950.0061141.1761564.010.64%1.31%1,023 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before60966.0661245.9960922.7761167.990.33%0.53%588 BTC
During61168.0061950.0061141.1761553.790.63%1.31%1,271 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before61335.7061456.0060867.1961167.99-0.27%0.96%1,283 BTC
During61168.0062446.0061141.1762052.761.43%2.09%2,636 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before61537.9961607.5660755.0061167.99-0.60%1.38%2,777 BTC
During61168.0062857.9961141.1762284.001.79%2.73%4,850 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before61351.9961813.3460755.0061167.99-0.30%1.71%4,312 BTC
During61168.0062857.9961141.1762016.001.37%2.73%6,296 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before61852.8061974.7061080.0061537.99-0.51%1.44%4,052 BTC
During61537.9962857.9960755.0062284.001.20%3.35%7,628 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before61852.8061974.7060755.0061167.99-1.12%1.97%6,829 BTC
During61168.0062857.9961104.2461884.001.16%2.79%9,257 BTC

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