BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 14th July 2026

Data Analysis

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 5.78x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 13.94x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a strong reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $62,957.96 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.95% higher, and an hour later 1.59% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.96% of its price, against 0.52% in the hour before.

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 14 July 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at -0.4% for June 2026, against 0.5% in May 2026. Consumer prices are falling, after a rise.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 5.78x compares with 3.99x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

What it means

Bitcoin showed a strong reaction to the June 2026 CPI release, with a volatility ratio of 5.78x that exceeded the 4.28x median across CPI prints since 2021. Volume expanded to 13.94x its typical quarter-hour level, more than double the 6.92x benchmark for the event. This outcome stood out because the release arrived outside the two-week window before a Federal Reserve decision, where the historical median volatility ratio has been 3.99x.

Price movement after the print

Bitcoin stood at $62,957.96 at the 8:30 AM release. It rose 0.95 percent within fifteen minutes and 1.59 percent within the hour. The high-to-low range reached 1.96 percent of spot in that first hour, compared with 0.52 percent in the preceding hour. The print itself showed consumer prices falling 0.4 percent month-over-month after a 0.5 percent rise in May.

The simultaneous arrival of Core CPI and the Core Inflation Rate means the measured response reflects the combined data. Even without proximity to a policy meeting, the volatility ratio surpassed both the event median and the 3.99x benchmark for non-proximate releases. Across seventy CPI observations since 2021 the median volatility ratio remains 4.28x.

Traders monitoring the next CPI may note that timing relative to Federal Reserve meetings has historically influenced magnitude, yet this instance produced an outsized move despite its calendar position. The record supplies context on typical ranges without establishing expectations for future prints.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

62,372.76

64,890.01

24h Change

2517.25 (3.88%)

24h High

65,100.00

24h Low

62,289.90

24h Volume

20,349 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

14th July, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	62912.81	62957.97	62889.34	62957.97	0.07%	0.11%	22 BTC
During	62957.96	63581.23	62949.69	63545.64	0.92%	0.99%	752 BTC

5 Minutes
Before	63060.01	63108.00	62889.34	62957.97	-0.16%	0.35%	150 BTC
During	62957.96	63589.45	62949.69	63475.99	0.82%	1.01%	1,254 BTC

10 Minutes
Before	62930.49	63108.00	62889.34	62957.97	0.04%	0.35%	266 BTC
During	62957.96	63672.52	62949.69	63441.68	0.76%	1.14%	1,618 BTC

15 Minutes
Before	62852.75	63108.00	62818.26	62957.97	0.17%	0.46%	295 BTC
During	62957.96	63672.52	62949.69	63554.22	0.94%	1.14%	1,752 BTC

30 Minutes
Before	62844.99	63108.00	62780.84	62957.97	0.18%	0.52%	556 BTC
During	62957.96	63989.54	62949.69	63960.00	1.57%	1.63%	2,553 BTC

1 Hour
Before	62865.76	63108.00	62780.84	62957.97	0.15%	0.52%	714 BTC
During	62957.96	64181.99	62949.69	63958.68	1.56%	1.92%	3,444 BTC

2 Hours
Before	62668.32	63108.00	62609.47	62957.97	0.46%	0.79%	1,109 BTC
During	62957.96	64181.99	62949.69	63915.06	1.50%	1.92%	4,619 BTC

4 Hours
Before	62664.00	63108.00	62534.29	62957.97	0.47%	0.91%	2,123 BTC
During	62957.96	64966.43	62949.69	64822.87	2.88%	3.10%	9,101 BTC

6 Hours
Before	62688.82	63108.00	62500.00	62957.97	0.43%	0.96%	2,866 BTC
During	62957.96	64966.43	62949.69	64518.14	2.42%	3.10%	10,912 BTC

8 Hours
Before	62372.76	62872.00	62289.90	62664.01	0.46%	0.93%	4,065 BTC
During	62664.00	64966.43	62534.29	64822.87	3.33%	3.74%	11,225 BTC

12 Hours
Before	62372.76	63108.00	62289.90	62957.97	0.93%	1.30%	6,189 BTC
During	62957.96	65100.00	62949.69	64890.01	2.98%	3.30%	14,161 BTC