Data Analysis
The release
Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 12 August 2026 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.1% for July 2026, against -0.4% in June 2026. Consumer prices are rising again, after a fall.
It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.
How Bitcoin moved
Bitcoin was at $64,412.00 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.49% lower, and an hour later 0.7% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 0.91% of its price, against 0.44% in the hour before.
Measured by Clometrix
Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 4.87x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 6.18x, against a typical 6.92x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.
What made it matter
Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one was not within two weeks of a Fed decision. Its own ratio of 4.87x compares with 3.99x for those, so it moved the price more than its circumstances alone would suggest.
Its record
Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.
What it means
Bitcoin registered an ordinary reaction to the July CPI print, with volatility reaching 4.87x against the 4.28x median recorded across 70 releases since 2021. The 0.1% month-over-month reading arrived alongside core CPI and core inflation figures. Price fell 0.49% in the first fifteen minutes and 0.7% within the hour, while the high-low range widened to 0.91% of spot from 0.44% in the prior hour. Volume expanded 6.18x, close to the 6.92x norm for the event.
The release occurred 34 days before the September FOMC decision and therefore outside the two-week window that has historically produced larger moves. Releases in that earlier window carry a 4.75x median volatility ratio, compared with 3.99x at other times. The 4.87x ratio observed here exceeded the non-window benchmark, indicating the reaction outpaced what timing alone would have implied.
Traders monitoring future CPI dates can note that distance from policy meetings does not eliminate elevated volatility, yet the scale remained consistent with the event's established record rather than signaling an exceptional outcome.
About Consumer Price Index
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
Disclaimer
The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.
BTC-USDT
Bitcoin
Open
63,666.91Close
63,626.6624h Change
-40.25 (-0.06%)24h High
64,500.0024h Low
63,310.3424h Volume
13,744 BTCUS Consumer Price Index
Bureau of Labor Statistics
12th August, 2026, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York
Chart Data from Binance
Observations
| Time | Open | High | Low | Close | Change | Amplitude | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | |||||||
| Before | 64365.88 | 64444.00 | 64362.00 | 64412.00 | 0.07% | 0.13% | 122 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 64132.44 | 64190.02 | -0.35% | 0.57% | 170 BTC |
| 5 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 64273.20 | 64444.00 | 64262.50 | 64412.00 | 0.22% | 0.28% | 142 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 64087.51 | 64258.85 | -0.24% | 0.64% | 328 BTC |
| 10 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 64309.99 | 64444.00 | 64262.50 | 64412.00 | 0.16% | 0.28% | 305 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 64047.82 | 64073.97 | -0.53% | 0.70% | 433 BTC |
| 15 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 64265.67 | 64444.00 | 64262.50 | 64412.00 | 0.23% | 0.28% | 363 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 64047.82 | 64097.99 | -0.49% | 0.70% | 601 BTC |
| 30 Minutes | |||||||
| Before | 64240.04 | 64444.00 | 64215.00 | 64412.00 | 0.27% | 0.36% | 531 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63976.37 | 64119.71 | -0.46% | 0.81% | 766 BTC |
| 1 Hour | |||||||
| Before | 64200.00 | 64444.00 | 64160.00 | 64412.00 | 0.33% | 0.44% | 694 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63912.36 | 63960.00 | -0.71% | 0.91% | 1,027 BTC |
| 2 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 64068.00 | 64444.00 | 64068.00 | 64412.00 | 0.53% | 0.58% | 1,123 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63600.00 | 63658.01 | -1.18% | 1.40% | 2,018 BTC |
| 4 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63824.47 | 64444.00 | 63768.01 | 64412.00 | 0.91% | 1.05% | 2,582 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63316.00 | 63564.59 | -1.33% | 1.84% | 3,795 BTC |
| 6 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63636.94 | 64444.00 | 63606.15 | 64412.00 | 1.20% | 1.30% | 3,516 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63316.00 | 63435.69 | -1.54% | 1.84% | 4,461 BTC |
| 8 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63666.91 | 63908.01 | 63606.15 | 63824.47 | 0.25% | 0.47% | 4,092 BTC |
| During | 63824.47 | 64500.00 | 63316.00 | 63564.59 | -0.41% | 1.84% | 6,378 BTC |
| 12 Hours | |||||||
| Before | 63666.91 | 64444.00 | 63606.15 | 64412.00 | 1.16% | 1.30% | 6,675 BTC |
| During | 64412.00 | 64500.00 | 63310.34 | 63626.66 | -1.23% | 1.84% | 7,069 BTC |
