BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 24th October 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 24 October 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.3% for September 2025, against 0.3% in August 2025. Consumer prices are rising at the same pace as before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index and Core Inflation Rate, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $111,006.70 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.5% higher, and an hour later 0.21% higher. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.09% of its price, against 0.61% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 5.29x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 11.56x, against a typical 6.92x. That is about what this release usually does. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one came out 5 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 5.29x compares with 4.75x for those, about what its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

What it means

Bitcoin registered an ordinary reaction to the September CPI release. Its volatility ratio reached 5.29x in the quarter hour after the print, near the 4.28x median observed across 70 CPI releases since 2021.

The release arrived five days before the Federal Reserve's 29 October rate decision. Releases in that two-week window have produced a higher median volatility ratio of 4.75x since 2021, compared with 3.99x outside it. Traders reviewing similar pre-Fed CPI prints can note that the timing effect has been consistent in the record, though each release still carries its own dispersion around the median.

Price action remained contained. Bitcoin stood at $111,006.70 at the release and rose 0.5 percent within fifteen minutes before closing the hour 0.21 percent higher. The high-to-low range widened to 1.09 percent of spot from 0.61 percent in the preceding hour.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

110,162.53

Close

110,850.04

24h Change

687.51 (0.62%)

24h High

112,104.98

24h Low

109,700.01

24h Volume

14,846 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

24th October, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before110942.00111006.71110942.00111006.700.06%0.06%17 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111710.470.63%1.08%602 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before111021.86111021.86110867.15111006.70-0.01%0.14%67 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111556.510.49%1.08%998 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before110923.19111049.64110867.15111006.700.08%0.16%108 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111383.740.34%1.08%1,165 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before111181.31111181.31110867.15111006.70-0.16%0.28%195 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111566.960.50%1.08%1,216 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before111066.29111282.60110867.15111006.70-0.05%0.37%284 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111297.010.26%1.08%1,409 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before111117.70111282.60110600.00111006.70-0.10%0.61%725 BTC
During111006.70112104.98110895.35111236.220.21%1.08%1,737 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before111078.06111282.60110600.00111006.70-0.06%0.61%1,013 BTC
During111006.70112104.98109700.01110000.43-0.91%2.15%3,641 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before110812.01111482.99110600.00111006.700.18%0.79%1,940 BTC
During111006.70112104.98109700.01110353.05-0.59%2.15%5,526 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before111310.52111522.30110600.00111006.70-0.27%0.83%3,270 BTC
During111006.70112104.98109700.01110516.26-0.44%2.15%6,258 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before110162.53111522.30110130.41110812.000.59%1.25%4,317 BTC
During110812.01112104.98109700.01110353.05-0.42%2.15%7,467 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before110162.53111522.30110130.41111006.700.76%1.25%6,258 BTC
During111006.70112104.98109700.01110850.04-0.14%2.15%8,588 BTC

Your trading edge begins today.

Get Started Now