BTC Volatility Analysis for CPI, 10th December 2020

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on 10 December 2020 at 8:30 AM EST. The Consumer Price Index came in at 0.2% for November 2020, against 0.1% in October 2020. Consumer prices are rising faster than before.

It arrived at the same moment as Core Consumer Price Index, Core Inflation Rate, Initial Jobless Claims and Continued Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

How Bitcoin moved

Bitcoin was at $18,131.25 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.36% lower, and an hour later 0.34% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.14% of its price, against 1.05% in the hour before.

Measured by Clometrix

Bitcoin's volatility ratio was 1.66x, against 4.28x for a typical CPI release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.83x, against a typical 6.92x. That is a muted reaction by this release's own standard. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

What made it matter

Since 2021, CPI releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Bitcoin more than those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 4.75x across 28, against 3.99x across 42. This one came out 6 days before the Federal Reserve's 16 December rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.66x compares with 4.75x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

Its record

Across 70 CPI releases since 2021, Bitcoin's median volatility ratio is 4.28x.

About Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the monthly change in prices paid by U.S. consumers. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) calculates the CPI as a weighted average of prices for a basket of goods and services representative of aggregate U.S. consumer spending. The CPI is one of the most popular measures of inflation and deflation. The index is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

BTC-USDT

Bitcoin

Open

18,449.43

Close

17,911.79

24h Change

-537.64 (-3.00%)

24h High

18,500.00

24h Low

17,854.77

24h Volume

56,377 BTC

US Consumer Price Index

Bureau of Labor Statistics

10th December, 2020, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time Open High Low Close Change Amplitude Volume
 
1 Minute
Before18167.4218167.4318120.0118131.56-0.20%0.26%92 BTC
During18131.2518131.2518112.3318120.46-0.06%0.10%46 BTC
 
5 Minutes
Before18150.3518182.9718120.0118131.56-0.10%0.35%305 BTC
During18131.2518168.2418112.3318149.970.10%0.31%347 BTC
 
10 Minutes
Before18170.3618182.9718120.0118131.56-0.21%0.35%447 BTC
During18131.2518168.2418075.3118095.09-0.20%0.51%582 BTC
 
15 Minutes
Before18137.0218182.9718120.0118131.56-0.03%0.35%698 BTC
During18131.2518168.2418055.4618066.37-0.36%0.62%888 BTC
 
30 Minutes
Before18209.7218209.7218070.8618131.56-0.43%0.76%1,616 BTC
During18131.2518246.8018045.3118233.650.56%1.10%2,086 BTC
 
1 Hour
Before18244.2018260.8918070.8618131.56-0.62%1.04%2,420 BTC
During18131.2518252.5518045.3118069.53-0.34%1.14%3,911 BTC
 
2 Hours
Before18147.0018290.6318070.8618131.56-0.09%1.20%4,444 BTC
During18131.2518252.5517911.1218022.29-0.60%1.87%8,148 BTC
 
4 Hours
Before18440.0018480.0018070.0018131.56-1.70%2.22%11,305 BTC
During18131.2518252.5517911.1218100.99-0.17%1.87%13,622 BTC
 
6 Hours
Before18349.7518480.0018070.0018131.56-1.20%2.22%14,485 BTC
During18131.2518321.0917911.1218287.860.86%2.24%18,004 BTC
 
8 Hours
Before18449.4318500.0018278.4418440.00-0.05%1.20%13,099 BTC
During18440.0018480.0017911.1218100.99-1.87%3.08%24,927 BTC
 
12 Hours
Before18449.4318500.0018070.0018131.56-1.75%2.32%24,404 BTC
During18131.2518435.7417854.7717911.79-1.23%3.15%31,973 BTC

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