ADA Volatility Analysis for Continued Claims, 16th October 2025

Data Analysis

The release

Released by the Department of Labor on 16 October 2025 at 8:30 AM EDT. Continued Jobless Claims rose to 1947K for the week ending 4th Oct, from 1928K in the week ending 27th Sep.

It arrived at the same moment as Initial Jobless Claims, so the reaction measured on this page belongs to all of them together.

Measured by Clometrix

Cardano's volatility ratio was 1.05x, against 1.35x for a typical Continued Claims release since 2021. Its volume ratio was 1.38x, against a typical 1.63x. Under 1.5x is not a reaction at all: the market barely noticed this release. Both compare the quarter hour of the release with an ordinary quarter hour that same day, where 1.00x is no change: volatility is how far the price ranged, volume how much traded.

How Cardano moved

Cardano was at $0.6792 when the figure came out. Fifteen minutes later it was 0.27% higher, and an hour later 0.31% lower. Its high-to-low range in the hour after was 1.18% of its price, against 1.6% in the hour before.

What made it matter

Since 2021, Continued Claims releases in the two weeks before a Fed decision have moved Cardano about as much as those at other times: a median volatility ratio of 1.33x across 93, against 1.36x across 206. This one came out 13 days before the Federal Reserve's 29 October rate decision. Its own ratio of 1.05x compares with 1.33x for those, so it moved the price less than its circumstances would suggest.

About Continued Jobless Claims

The weekly claims report is released Thursdays at 8:30 a.m. ET by the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). Continued claims, also referred to as insured unemployment, is the number of people who have already filed an initial claim and who have experienced a week of unemployment and then filed a continued claim to claim benefits for that week of unemployment. Continued claims data are based on the week of unemployment, not the week when the initial claim was filed.

Disclaimer

The data analysis, forecasted results and projections provided herein are based on historical price action and market trends. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy of the information, these predictions are speculative and should not be considered a guarantee of future performance. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. We do not assume any liability for any losses that may result from reliance on this information.

ADA-USDT

Cardano

Open

0.6698

0.6486

24h Change

-0.0212 (-3.27%)

24h High

0.6847

24h Low

0.6332

24h Volume

199.152M ADA

US Continued Jobless Claims

Department of Labor

16th October, 2025, 8:30AM Timezone: America/New York

Not published (US federal government shutdown). This release was not published. There are no figures for this period, and the chart shows the market around the time it was scheduled. This was during the US federal government shutdown.

Chart Data from Binance

Observations

Time	Open	High	Low	Close	Change	Amplitude	Volume

1 Minute
Before	0.6782	0.6791	0.6781	0.6791	0.13%	0.15%	70,578 ADA
During	0.6792	0.68	0.6778	0.6791	-0.01%	0.32%	502,844 ADA

5 Minutes
Before	0.6791	0.6791	0.6777	0.6791	0.00%	0.21%	268,049 ADA
During	0.6792	0.6808	0.6778	0.6806	0.21%	0.44%	869,681 ADA

10 Minutes
Before	0.6787	0.6801	0.6777	0.6791	0.06%	0.35%	627,232 ADA
During	0.6792	0.6824	0.6778	0.6823	0.45%	0.67%	1.163M ADA

15 Minutes
Before	0.678	0.6801	0.6777	0.6791	0.16%	0.35%	902,914 ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6778	0.681	0.26%	0.72%	1.783M ADA

30 Minutes
Before	0.6802	0.6847	0.6777	0.6791	-0.16%	1.02%	2.637M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6778	0.6797	0.07%	0.72%	2.504M ADA

1 Hour
Before	0.6755	0.6847	0.6738	0.6791	0.53%	1.59%	4.109M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6747	0.6771	-0.31%	1.17%	4.345M ADA

2 Hours
Before	0.6765	0.6847	0.6738	0.6791	0.38%	1.59%	7.809M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6623	0.6663	-1.94%	2.99%	15.573M ADA

4 Hours
Before	0.6689	0.6847	0.652	0.6791	1.50%	4.78%	36.279M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6461	0.6514	-4.27%	5.36%	56.381M ADA

6 Hours
Before	0.6712	0.6847	0.652	0.6791	1.16%	4.78%	44.355M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6461	0.648	-4.81%	5.36%	90.915M ADA

8 Hours
Before	0.6698	0.6765	0.6646	0.669	-0.12%	1.76%	29.879M ADA
During	0.6689	0.6847	0.6461	0.6514	-2.69%	5.64%	92.661M ADA

12 Hours
Before	0.6698	0.6847	0.652	0.6791	1.37%	4.78%	66.158M ADA
During	0.6792	0.6827	0.6332	0.6486	-4.72%	7.25%	132.993M ADA